Reasons to be thankful

Here’s an AP story today that tells us that as bad as Hurricane Katrina was, it could have been a lot worse…

Hurricane Simulation Predicted 61,290 Dead

As Katrina roared into the Gulf of Mexico, emergency planners pored over maps and charts of a hurricane simulation that projected 61,290 dead and 384,257 injured or sick in a catastrophic flood that would leave swaths of southeast Louisiana uninhabitable for more than a year.

These planners were not involved in the frantic preparations for Katrina. By coincidence, they were working on a yearlong project to prepare federal and state officials for a Category 3 hurricane striking New Orleans.

Their fictitious storm eerily foreshadowed the havoc wrought by Category 4 Katrina a few days later, raising questions about whether government leaders did everything possible - as early as possible - to protect New Orleans residents from a well-documented threat.

After watching many of their predictions prove grimly accurate, “Hurricane Pam” planners now hope they were wrong about one detail - the death toll. The 61,290 estimate is six times what New Orleans Mayor C. Ray Nagin has warned people to expect.

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One Response to “Reasons to be thankful”

  1. Steve Wilcox Says:

    I wonder if you would be kind enough to link to our website: www.savenolamusic.org. It provides concrete info on how to help New Orleans musicians.

    Steve Wilcox

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